Archive for the ‘Articles’ Category

By David Kerr

Yesterday, I looked at three players, Justin Upton, Chris Davis, and Clay Buchholz, who have started the season by putting up quite gaudy numbers. Today, I want to look at two players who have done the opposite and whether you should buy, sell, or hold on to them. Let’s start in Los Angeles.

Josh Hamilton

Over 76 games dating back to last year’s All-Star break, Josh Hamilton is batting .247 with 16 home runs and 53 RBIs. Minus the average, those are solid power and run producing numbers. At one point early last season, Hamilton was the hottest hitter in baseball and it wasn’t even close. He hit a slump that saw his average drop over 100 points. This season he looks lost at the plate. On Wednesday night against Oakland, I watched him strikeout on three pitches with the bases loaded; strike three was a pitch way out of the zone that he reached for. He just seems uncomfortable. This is a player who is a career .299 hitter in April that also started 2012 batting .395 in that very month. Maybe it’s from jitters because he’s adjusting to a new team or maybe he’s lost a step. Whatever it is, I don’t think it will continue. Hamilton is a hitting machine and his price tag will never be lower this season than it is right now. I don’t think he’s going to put up the same type of power numbers that he put up while playing half of his games in Texas, but I do think hitting cleanup behind Mike Trout and Albert Pujols will soon pay dividends. If someone sours on Hamilton, find a way to acquire him. His track record is too good for him to all of a sudden be a notch above mediocre.

Recommendation: HOLD or BUY. Once he starts to hit (and he will,) the window will be closed.

Giancarlo Stanton

As one of my favorite players headed into this season, I think you probably already know what my recommendation will be. Let me tell you why. No one in the major leagues has a better chance to hit 45-50 home runs. I don’t care what the lineup around him looks like. I don’t care whether opposing teams will pitch around him (he already has a 8/11 walk-to-strikeout ratio.) When Stanton gets locked in, the ball will start flying. Just look at his ISO increase over the past three seasons. It has went from .248 (2010), to .275 (2011), to .318 (2012). I can’t stress enough the power that this guy possesses. Add that to the fact that he’s only 23, I can only imagine the numbers he’ll put up in the next 3-5 years. If you’re in a dynasty or keeper league, he’s one of the top five guys I’d look to acquire. Oh, and it certainly wouldn’t hurt to try to trade for him this year either in redraft leagues. If you already own him, don’t lose faith. The power numbers are coming… very soon.

Recommendation: HOLD or BUY!!

If you have a long form Fantasy Baseball question, please e-mail it to me at askrotobaseball@yahoo.com. Also, you can click the button below to follow me on Twitter where I will give you instant answers to all of your Fantasy Baseball question’s!


Facebook
Twitter
More...

Advertisements

By David Kerr

We are just over a week into the 2013 season and there has been plenty of craziness already. Yu Darvish almost threw a perfect game, Justin Upton, Chris Davis, and Michael Morse have been killing the ball, and Roy Halladay’s spring training struggles have carried over into the regular season. Over the next two days, I want to take a look at six guys and their performances to date, followed by a recommendation for the rest of the season. First the guys that have started hot.

Justin Upton

Justin Upton has been the hottest hitter from a power standpoint in the National League since the start of the season. He already has six home runs and if this type of production keeps up, he could easily finish April with ten or more. Upton is a guy that everyone has always been waiting on to break out. I believe that truly happens this year. He’s going to drive in the most runs of his career and will finish with his highest average to date. Who knows how many home runs he will hit, but 40 isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

Recommendation: HOLD or BUY. This will be Upton’s career year to date. You will want to be along for this ride. His value is high right now, but if he cools down for a short period, pounce and don’t look back.

Chris Davis

Chris Davis played out of his mind over the first four games of the season, hitting four homers and driving in 16 runs. That will easily be his best week of the season. Davis is a streaky hitter that strikes out a ton. He’s prone to slumps and will definitely go through his fair share this season. With that said, he should have no problem hitting 30 home runs again. He has one of the best power bats in the game. If I owned him and could turn him into an injured Freddie Freeman, I’d do it in a heartbeat.

Recommendation: SELL.

Clay Buchholz

Carrying over from his strong spring, Clay Buchholz has looked sharp in his first two starts of the season. He sports a 0.64 ERA to go along with 12 strikeouts in 14 innings pitched. Can he sustain? I’m skeptical. Since his breakout of 2010, he’s been often injured or under-performing. To date his batting average against is .184. That is 66 points lower than his career BAA number of .250. There is no way that will continue. Buchholz has also stranded every runner he’s allowed on base this year. His only run allowed was from a home run. Once these numbers even out, everything will be going up, except of course, the strikeouts. I’d look to move him.

Recommendation: SELL. If you could trade Buchholz for a starter such as Brandon Morrow, Ian Kennedy, or Doug Fister, I’d pull the trigger immediately. He may have his best season since 2010, but I’d rather invest in a starting pitcher that I know will put up good numbers.

I’ll be back tomorrow with three players that have started ice cold and my recommendations for them for the rest of the year.

If you have a long form Fantasy Baseball question, please e-mail it to me at askrotobaseball@yahoo.com. Also, you can click the button below to follow me on Twitter where I will give you instant answers to all of your Fantasy Baseball question’s!


Facebook
Twitter
More...

By David Kerr

Deep Relief Pitcher Sleepers

Every year you see multiple closer’s lose their job with someone else then stepping into the role. It happens every season; it is inevitable. I want to take a look at several pitcher’s that could fill the ninth inning role should the current closer falter or go down with an injury. Towards the bottom of the list, I’ll provide a few names that you may not be familiar with, but are worth remembering.

Kenley Jansen, Los Angeles Dodgers: There is no doubt that Kenley Jansen is a superior pitcher to the Dodgers’ current closer, Brandon League. Just looking at their respective K/9 numbers, you’ll see a huge difference. In three seasons, Jansen’s K/9 number is 14.6; League’s is 6.7 over his nine year career. Brandon League has only been a full time closer for one season and that was in 2011. Last year, he racked up 15 total saves, but blew six in Seattle before he was shipped to the Dodgers. With respect to League, he did pitch well for Los Angeles, seemingly well enough to be anointed closer in 2013. The biggest question with Jansen is his health. He’s had an irregular heartbeat issue twice and obviously the Dodgers are concerned about it. Nevertheless, if his health is good, he will be the Los Angeles closer at some point this year. That elite K/9 rate needs to pitching in the ninth inning and I’m confident that will happen sooner rather than later.

Kyuji Fujikawa, Chicago Cubs: Fujikawa has been an elite closer in Japan for the past six season and will likely fill that role for the Chicago Cubs at some point this year. In Japan, he posted an ERA above 2.00 just once. His WHIP never exceeded 1.07 in any given year; in fact, it was under 1.00 in four of his six seasons while in Japan. Carlos Marmol has excellent strikeout numbers, but that’s about it. He walks too many batters and is prone to blow ups. If he falters or is traded, expect Fujikawa to take over the ninth inning duties.

Sergio Santos, Toronto Blue Jays: If Casey Janssen pitches like he did in 2012, there won’t be a discussion about Sergio Santos in the closer’s role for Toronto. Janssen has always been a solid middle reliever who closed for the first time last year. He had excellent numbers and certainly deserves the role to begin the 2013 campaign. Sergio Santos is a converted Shortstop that has never really put up spectacular numbers as a pitcher except for his 2011 season when he closed for the Chicago White Sox. Learning the art of pitching is a journey and I’m a believer in Santos. His 13.1 K/9 number in 2011 was no accident. He’s pitched well this spring and at the very least he will be used in a set-up role to begin the year. If Janssen has trouble, Santos will be the first reliever in line for save chances.

David Hernandez, Arizona Diamondbacks: With the numbers he has put up over the past two seasons, David Hernandez would be closing for a number of teams. He’s really grown as a pitcher over the past four seasons as he’s lowered his WHIP and raised his K/9 each year. J.J. Putz, the current Diamondbacks closer is 36 and somewhat injury prone. It’s worth noting that he did sign a two-year, $13.5 million dollar contract extension with Arizona, so there is no doubt that the D’Backs look at Putz as their closer. Hernandez would step into that role without question if Putz went down, so keep him on your radar. Not only would he save games, but he’d rack up plenty of strikeouts too. If your league counts holds, he’s a great reliever to own because he helps in the other categories as well. Keep an eye on Hernandez, he’s first in line if something happens to Putz.

Sean Marshall, Cincinnati Reds: Sean Marshall began 2012 as the closer for Cincinnati, but once Aroldis Chapman emerged as an almost unhittable force, he stepped back into the setup role. That will be his role to start the season in 2013. He’ll be setting up for Jonathan Broxton because Chapman is moving to the starting rotation. Broxton returned to form last year, but wasn’t the dominant player that we saw in 2009. His strikeout rates have been way down the past two seasons, so he certainly isn’t overpowering hitters. Marshall has posted a 2.47 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a K/9 of 10.3 over the past three seasons. He’s a very reliable reliever that has really come into his own and should Broxton pitch like he did in 2010 and 2011, Marshall will be the first option to close games for Cincinnati.

Mark Melancon, Pittsburgh Pirates: Mark Melancon will be with his fourth major league organization in five years when he heads north with the Pittsburgh Pirates in just a few weeks. On paper, Melancon’s 2012 with Boston was awful, but if you dig deeper, there were a few silver linings. He posted a career low BB/9 of 2.40. His K/BB was a career high 3.42. Melancon’s main problem was his occasional blow up. On four separate occasions, he gave up four or more runs in one inning or less. That inflated his ERA to 6.20 on the season. April was an awful month for Melancon as he gave up 11 earned runs in just two innings pitched. From June 11 until the end of the season, Melancon posted an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.05. He’s moving from Boston to Pittsburgh this season, so it is safe to say there will be less pressure. Pittsburgh is heading into the season with Jason Grilli as their closer. He’s been a decent reliever throughout his career, but he only has five saves on his rĂ©sumĂ©. Melancon is next in line if Grilli can’t handle the ninth inning role.

Vinnie Pestano, Cleveland Indians: There a decent chance Vinnie Pestano will begin the season as Cleveland’s closer. He will likely slide back into a setup role though once Chris Perez returns from his shoulder injury. If Perez’s injury lingers into the season and he misses an extended period of time, Pestano could claim the closer’s role for good. Over the past two seasons, Pestano has struck out 160 batters in 132 innings pitched. His stuff is good enough to close games and if the situation arises, he should have no problem manning the ninth inning for the Tribe.

Al Alburquerque, Detroit Tigers: It was assumed that rookie Bruce Rondon would start the season as the Detroit closer. That likely is not the case at this point due mostly to his control issues. He has given up seven hits and walked five batters in just 4 2/3 innings pitched this spring. It’s hard to say whether Rondon will start the season with the Tigers or begin in Toledo to work on his control. If, in fact, Rondon does not close for Detroit, they have a handful of options including Octavio Dotel, Joaquin Benoit, Phil Coke, and Al Alburquerque. Alburquerque is an intriguing option and is the one reliever that I think could emerge as closer for the Tigers. He’s a big strikeout guy, which bodes well for his chances to save games, but he also missed most of 2012 with an elbow injury. He needs to prove that he is durable and that could be a big factor into whether he takes the reigns to save games for Detroit. Another aspect of Alburquerque’s game that is worth noting is his walk rate. His sample at the Major League level isn’t huge (53.2 IP), but his BB/9 number of 5.9 is alarming. He’ll either need to get his walks down or continue overpowering hitters with strikeouts. If not, those walks will start turning into runs. Nevertheless, he is the best option for the Tigers, so keep an eye on the situation in the Motor City.

J.J. Hoover, Cincinnati Reds: If you’ve never heard of J.J. Hoover before, it is probably because he’s a relatively young middle reliever. There isn’t much fanfare that goes along with that role. He is a name that you will be familiar with and in my opinion, it will be sooner rather than later. Hoover was traded from Atlanta to Cincinnati at the start of last season and was very impressive in both Louisville (Reds AAA affiliate) and in Cincinnati. Hoover worked as a starter throughout his minor league career until 2011. Once pitching strictly in relief, he put up impressive K/9 and BB/9 numbers. After posting a 1.22 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and striking out 55 batters in just 37 innings, Hoover was promoted to the Reds. He continued to impress as he struck out more than a batter an inning and kept the ball in the park by giving up only two home runs in over 30 innings pitched. He will probably be third or fourth in line for the Reds this year, but if Cincinnati has bullpen issues, Hoover could be in line for save opportunities. His minor league numbers as a reliever were excellent and he was certainly impressive for the Reds last year, so keep an eye on Hoover if things get murky in Cincinnati.

If you have a long form Fantasy Baseball question, please e-mail it to me at askrotobaseball@yahoo.com. Also, you can click the button below to follow me on Twitter where I will give you instant answers to all of your Fantasy Baseball question’s!


Facebook
Twitter
More...

2013 Fantasy Baseball Top 300

Posted: February 18, 2013 in Articles, Rankings

By David Kerr

2013 Fantasy Baseball Top 300

UPDATED 3/21/13

1. Mike Trout (OF)
2. Ryan Braun (OF)
3. Miguel Cabrera (3B)
4. Robinson Cano (2B)
5. Matt Kemp (OF)
6. Carlos Gonzalez (OF)
7. Prince Fielder (1B)
8. Andrew McCutchen (OF)
9. Joey Votto (1B)
10. Albert Pujols (1B)
11. Giancarlo Stanton (OF)
12. Buster Posey (C)
13. Clayton Kershaw (SP)
14. Justin Verlander (SP)
15. Evan Longoria (3B)
16. Jason Heyward (OF)
17. Jose Reyes (SS)
18. Josh Hamilton (OF)
19. Jose Bautista (OF)
20. Dustin Pedroia (2B)
21. Adrian Beltre (3B)
22. Edwin Encarnacion (1B/DH)
23. Justin Upton (OF)
24. Bryce Harper (OF)
25. Troy Tulowitzki (SS)
26. David Wright (3B)
27. David Price (SP)
28. Cole Hamels (SP)
29. Adam Jones (OF)
30. Stephen Strasburg (SP)
31. Matt Holliday (OF)
32. Felix Hernandez (SP)
33. Jay Bruce (OF)
34. Matt Cain (SP)
35. Cliff Lee (SP)
36. Starlin Castro (SS)
37. Ian Kinsler (2B)
38. Billy Butler (1B/DH)
39. Jacoby Ellsbury (OF)
40. Gio Gonzalez (SP)
41. B.J. Upton (OF)
42. Ben Zobrist (2B/SS/OF)
43. Ryan Zimmerman (3B)
44. Madison Bumgarner (SP)
45. Yoenis Cespedes (OF)
46. Adam Wainwright (SP)
47. Michael Bourn (OF)
48. Yu Darvish (SP)
49. CC Sabathia (SP)
50. Shin-Soo Choo (OF)
51. Brandon Phillips (2B)
52. Austin Jackson (OF)
53. Allen Craig (OF/1B)
54. Zack Greinke (SP)
55. Jered Weaver (SP)
56. Desmond Jennings (OF)
57. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
58. Craig Kimbrel (RP)
59. Jimmy Rollins (SS)
60. Aramis Ramirez (3B)
61. Mat Latos (SP)
62. Matt Moore (SP)
63. Ian Desmond (SS)
64. Chris Sale (SP)
65. Jose Altuve (2B)
66. Carlos Santana (C)
67. Jordan Zimmerman (SP)
68. Alex Rios (OF)
69. Johnny Cueto (SP)
70. Hanley Ramirez (SS/3B)
71. James Shields (SP)
72. Elvis Andrus (SS)
73. Freddie Freeman (1B)
74. Max Scherzer (SP)
75. Adrian Gonzalez (1B)
76. Yadier Molina (C)
77. Jonathan Papelbon (RP)
78. Jason Kipnis (2B)
79. Matt Wieters (C)
80. Asdrubal Cabrera (SS)
81. Pablo Sandoval (3B)
82. Jason Motte (RP)
83. Joe Mauer (C)
84. Brett Lawrie (3B)
85. Aaron Hill (2B)
86. Yovani Gallardo (SP)
87. Mark Trumbo (OF)
88. R.A. Dickey (SP)
89. Roy Halladay (SP)
90. Kris Medlan (SP)
91. Chase Headley (3B)
92. Victor Martinez (C/DH)
93. Josh Johnson (SP)
94. Aroldis Chapman (SP)
95. Paul Konerko (1B)
96. Shane Victorino (OF)
97. Brandon Morrow (SP)
98. Ryan Howard (1B)
99. Hunter Pence (OF)
100. Brett Anderson (SP)
101. Alex Gordon (OF)
102. Anthony Rizzo (1B)
103. Ian Kennedy (SP)
104. Melky Cabrera (OF)
105. Carlos Beltran (OF)
106. Jonathan Lucroy (C)
107. Dan Haren (SP)
108. Rafael Soriano (RP)
109. Miguel Montero (C)
110. Joe Nathan (RP)
111. Mike Napoli (C/1B)
112. Rickie Weeks (2B)
113. David Freese (3B)
114. Doug Fister (SP)
115. Martin Prado (3B/OF)
116. Chris Davis (1B/OF)
117. Mariano Rivera (RP)
118. Wilin Rosario (C)
119. J.J. Putz (RP)
120. Pedro Alvarez (3B)
121. Danny Espinosa (SS/2B)
122. Andre Ethier (OF)
123. Eric Hosmer (1B)
124. Ryan Doumit (C)
125. Michael Morse (OF)
126. Curtis Granderson (OF)
127. Ben Revere (OF)
128. Jarrod Parker (SP)
129. Nelson Cruz (OF)
130. David Ortiz (DH)
131. Jeff Samardzija (SP)
132. Adam LaRoche (1B)
133. Erick Aybar (SS)
134. Hiroki Kuroda (SP)
135. Ike Davis (1B)
136. C.J. Wilson (SP)
137. Neil Walker (2B)
138. Chase Utley (2B)
139. Greg Holland (RP)
140. Dexter Fowler (OF)
141. Derek Jeter (SS)
142. Jonathan Niese (SP)
143. Norichika Aoki (OF)
144. Salvador Perez (C)
145. Josh Willingham (OF)
146. Tom Wilhelmsen (RP)
147. Jake Peavy (SP)
148. Josh Reddick (OF)
149. Jayson Werth (OF)
150. Anibal Sanchez (SP)
151. Fernando Rodney (RP)
152. Mark Teixeira (1B)
153. Brett Gardner (OF)
154. Sergio Romo (RP)
155. Dan Uggla (2B)
156. Carlos Gomez (OF)
157. Nick Swisher (OF)
158. Jim Johnson (RP)
159. Angel Pagan (OF)
160. Corey Hart (1B/OF)
161. Jon Lester (SP)
162. Mike Moustakas (3B)
163. Alex Avila (C)
164. Ryan Vogelsong (SP)
165. Kyle Seager (3B)
166. Matt Harrison (SP)
167. Cameron Maybin (OF)
168. Torii Hunter (OF)
169. J.J. Hardy (SS)
170. Adam Dunn (1B/DH)
171. Todd Frazier (3B)
172. Carlos Ruiz (C)
173. Joel Hanrahan (RP)
174. Jeremy Hellickson (SP)
175. Alfonso Soriano (OF)
176. Matt Garza (SP)
177. Ichiro Suzuki (OF)
178. Coco Crisp (OF)
179. Carl Crawford (OF)
180. Mike Minor (SP)
181. Brian McCann (C)
182. Howie Kendrick (2B)
183. Alexi Ogando (SP)
184. Alcides Escobar (SS)
185. Alejandro De Aza (OF)
186. Josh Rutledge (SS)
187. A.J. Pierzynski (C)
188. Homer Bailey (SP)
189. Marco Estrada (SP)
190. John Axford (RP)
191. Kevin Youkilis (3B)
192. Kendrys Morales (1B/DH)
193. A.J. Burnett (SP)
194. Michael Saunders (OF)
195. Dustin Ackley (2B)
196. Matt Harvey (SP)
197. Chris Perez (RP)
198. Shaun Marcum (SP)
199. Michael Cuddyer (OF)
200. Josh Beckett (SP)
201. Tim Lincecum (SP)
202. Jesus Montero (C)
203. Dayan Viciedo (OF)
204. Carlos Quentin (OF)
205. Edwin Jackson (SP)
206. Nick Markakis (OF)
207. Jason Kubel (OF)
208. Lonnie Chisenhall (3B)
209. Rafael Betancourt (RP)
210. Manny Machado (3B)
211. Kenley Jansen (RP)
212. Clay Buchholz (SP)
213. Will Middlebrooks (3B)
214. Emilio Bonifacio (OF)
215. Garrett Jones (1B/OF)
216. Justin Morneau (1B)
217. Bud Norris (SP)
218. Lance Lynn (SP)
219. Lorenzo Cain (OF)
220. Trevor Cahill (SP)
221. Addison Reed (RP)
222. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (C)
223. Jed Lowrie (SS)
224. Ryan Dempster (SP)
225. Michael Brantley (OF)
226. Alex Cobb (SP)
227. Alexei Ramirez (SS)
228. Ryan Ludwick (OF)
229. Ernesto Frieri (RP)
230. Wade Miley (SP)
231. Everth Cabrera (SS)
232. Starling Marte (OF)
233. Jonathan Broxton (RP)
234. Adam Eaton (OF)
235. J.P. Arencibia (C)
236. Daniel Murphy (2B)
237. Jaime Garcia (SP)
238. Trevor Plouffe (3B)
239. Zack Wheeler (SP)
240. Andrelton Simmons (SS)
241. Delmon Young (OF)
242. Marco Scutaro (SS/2B)
243. Cody Ross (OF)
244. Dan Straily (SP)
245. Zack Cozart (SS)
246. Yonder Alonso (1B)
247. Jon Jay (OF)
248. Andy Pettitte (SP)
249. Mike Fiers (SP)
250. Denard Span (OF)
251. Brandon Belt (1B)
252. Derek Holland (SP)
253. Drew Stubbs (OF)
254. Jason Grilli (RP)
255. Michael Young (3B/1B)
256. Mark Reynolds (1B/DH)
257. David Murphy (OF)
258. Jason Hammel (SP)
259. Omar Infante (2B)
260. Juan Pierre (OF)
261. Matt Joyce (OF)
262. Hisashi Iwakuma (SP)
263. Phil Hughes (SP)
264. Colby Rasmus (OF)
265. Justin Smoak (1B)
266. Russell Martin (C)
267. James McDonald (SP)
268. Wei-Yin Chen (SP)
269. Huston Street (RP)
270. Rajai Davis (OF)
271. Johnny Peralta (SS)
272. Bruce Rondon (RP)
273. Andrew Cashner (SP)
274. Jeff Keppinger (3B/2B)
275. Tyler Skaggs (SP)
276. Kelly Johnson (2B)
277. Kyle Lohse (SP)
278. Josh Donaldson (3B)
279. Tim Hudson (SP)
280. Casey Janssen (RP)
281. Matt Carpenter (2B)
282. Brandon Moss (1B/OF)
283. Chris Johnson (3B)
284. Logan Morrison (OF)
285. Mitch Moreland (1B)
286. Ryu Hyun-Jin (SP)
287. Jean Segura (SS)
288. Wilson Ramos (C)
289. Peter Bourjos (OF)
290. Glen Perkins (RP)
291. Stephen Drew (SS)
292. Lucas Duda (OF)
293. Chris Tillman (SP)
294. Paul Maholm (SP)
295. Grant Balfour (RP)
296. Tyler Colvin (OF)
297. Jeff Francoeur (OF)
298. Dominic Brown (OF)
299. Steve Cishek (RP)
300. Wil Myers (OF)

Thanks for reading! This completes my 2013 Rankings. They will be updated many times before the start of the season, so keep checking back. I will note the changes that I’ve made. Agree with my Rankings? Disagree? Please leave a comment. I’d love to interact with you. If you stumbled onto AskROTObaseball by accident, welcome! Please keep coming back as I’ll be rolling out Player Profiles over the next few weeks.

Click below to follow me on Twitter where you can ask me your Fantasy Baseball question’s and receive instant answers!


Facebook
Twitter
More...

By David Kerr

2013 First Base Rankings

1. Prince Fielder
2. Joey Votto
3. Albert Pujols
4. Edwin Encarnacion
5. Billy Butler
6. Paul Goldschmidt
7. Allen Craig
8. Freddie Freeman
9. Adrian Gonzalez
10. Paul Konerko
11. Ryan Howard
12. Anthony Rizzo
13. Eric Hosmer
14. Adam LaRoche
15. Ike Davis
16. Mark Trumbo
17. Corey Hart
18. Mark Teixeira
19. Adam Dunn
20. Kendrys Morales
21. Garrett Jones
22. Justin Morneau
23. Yonder Alonso
24. Brandon Belt
25. Mark Reynolds
26. Justin Smoak
27. Mitch Moreland
28. Brett Wallace
29. Brandon Moss
30. Gaby Sanchez

UPDATED 3/20/13:
Mark Teixeira falls from #13 to #18.
Ike Davis rises from #17 to #15.
Brandon Moss rises from #30 to #29.
Brett Wallace makes the list for the first time at #28.
Gaby Sanchez makes the list for the first time at #30.
Carlos Lee falls off the list.
Carlos Pena falls off the list.

Overall Thoughts

Do you want consistency? Look no further than Prince Fielder. He is my top rated First Baseman and I write that with confidence. He’s played in at least 157 games each season since 2006, his first full season in the majors. He’ll club home runs, give you a great average, get on-base, drive in runs, and best of all, you don’t have to worry about durability. I like Joey Votto over Albert Pujols because Pujols’ has started slow the past two season and I have to admit, it bothers me to some extent. Pujols will put up very good numbers, but my confidence has waned slightly.

I’m an Edwin Encarnacion believer and think he’ll come close to repeating the career year he had in 2012. Keep in mind that his BABIP was only .266 compared to a league average of .297. You could say “E5” was a bit unlucky in that department. When it’s all said and done, I see a line of .270/37/100/8 which is hardly a huge drop off. Paul Goldschmidt is my First Base breakout candidate. He’s going to see an increase in power and should continue to steal his fair share of bases. I see him going 30/15 in 2013.

Adrian Gonzalez is a guy that I’m just not that confident in. His walk rate was down to a career low since he became a full-time player and his home runs have fallen every season since he peaked with 40 in 2009. A player I would compare him to is his teammate, Andre Ethier. He should be solid, but he’s nothing special. Let someone else overdraft him.

Who will hit more home runs in 2013, Mark Teixeira or Ryan Howard? I’ll say Tex, but both players are on the decline. They’re very similar and I’ve noticed Howard has fallen a bit further than Teixeira in a few Mock Draft’s I’ve done.

Anthony Rizzo or Eric Hosmer? I have to go with Rizzo. I believe he will break out in his true sophomore season the way many thought Hosmer would last season in his. As for Hosmer, it is hard to gauge what to expect. He cannot be as bad as last year, but I’m not so sure he’s going to have a full breakout this season. He should hit 18 home runs and steal 15 bags to go along with a .260 average. That would definitely be a step in the right direction. Another player that had a rough go of it last year was Ike Davis. He was much better in the second half though, so hopefully he can build on his strong finish headed into the 2013 season. He will hit upwards of 30 home runs, so he may be able to provide cheap pop if he can get him later in drafts.

Corey Hart is going to miss the month of April and likely half of May as well. With that said, don’t forget about him. When he’s playing, he’ll produce. If you have an injured reserve to stash him on, don’t hesitate to do it. He’ll give you four solid months of production.

Hopefully Brandon Belt gets the chance to play everyday and has a breakout. I love his walk rate, but he needs to increase his power. He should do that with an everyday job at First Base.

Mark Reynolds will hit a nice amount of home runs, but will hurt you, especially in points leagues that give negative points for strikeouts. Carlos Lee has little power left, but will hit for a decent average. Carlos Pena will absolutely tank your average, but could provide some pop. If any of these three is your starting First Baseman, you’re in trouble at the position.

How many home runs will Brandon Moss hit in 2013? Last season he came out of the blue and hit 21. I say he ups his total to 22 and has a decent year. Maybe he’s just a late bloomer at the big league level!

Thanks for reading! Agree with my Rankings? Disagree? Please leave a comment. I’d love to interact with you. Look for Second Base Rankings tomorrow! Click below to follow me on Twitter!


Facebook
Twitter
More...

By David Kerr

Here are the results of DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft #2 Rounds 2-5. It is worth noting that Mock #2 is moving much quicker than Mock #1; 20 picks ahead of it actually and it started three days later! I won’t be writing as long of a summary as I did for the Round 1 summary because I’m getting caught up, but I will write a little blurb on each round. This will get me caught up and hopefully I’ll be able to expand my thoughts for Round 6! Here we go with Round 2…

Round 2

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@cjtyrrell136 Giancarlo Stanton 2.1 17 OF
@StevenSantos5 David Wright 2.2 18 3B
@RonJohnson5 Felix Hernandez 2.3 19 SP
@RDLARK Jose Reyes 2.4 20 SS
@askROTObaseball Evan Longoria 2.5 21 3B
@JeffSobers Adrian Beltre 2.6 22 3B
@U_Neek81 Hanley Ramirez 2.7 23 SS
@cmcbrien Jose Bautista 2.8 24 OF
@akantecki Dustin Pedroia 2.9 25 2B
@Mike_Schwartze Edwin Encarnacion 2.10 26 1B
@AGDFRD Adam Jones 2.11 27 OF
@chrisgarosi Starlin Castro 2.12 28 SS
@Friz26 Justin Upton 2.13 29 OF
@LosAngelesGypsy Jered Weaver 2.14 30 SP
@Streets559 Matt Cain 2.15 31 SP
@TheRealADiNardo Cole Hamels 2.16 32 SP

Round Summary

This round kicked off with Giancarlo Stanton being taken by @cjtyrrell136. This is a very good pick as I think that Stanton will have a monster year. Had he fallen to me four picks later, I definitely would have snapped him up. The round closed out with three Starting Pitchers being taken. It is important to have an ace in a league this deep. Sure, pitching will be available later, but getting a true number one starter with Cy Young potential is a smart move. Out of the three (Jered Weaver, Matt Cain, Cole Hamels) that went late in the first round, I prefer Hamels.

My Pick: Evan Longoria

I debated on Longoria, Hanley Ramirez, and Dustin Pedroia at this spot, but ultimately settled on Longoria. I have always been a huge fan of his, but as we all know, he has had trouble staying on the field. I am a bit skeptical that he’ll play a full season, but his upside is MVP caliber. He could hit 35-40 home runs with 100 plus RBIS and a .380 OBP. I’ll take my chances.

Best Value Pick: Justin Upton

Justin Upton is quite a value at number 29 overall. I’m actually surprised he fell this far. He’s a great bounce back candidate who I feel will put up some rather gaudy numbers in 2013. There are actually rumblings today that he could end up in Atlanta with his brother B.J. If that happens, I expect big things from both players as they should both be motivated to have big seasons. Regardless of where the younger Upton brother is playing to start the season, he should have a very nice year. Nick pick, @Friz26.

Round 3

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@TheRealADiNardo Adrian Gonzalez 3.1 33 1B
@Streets559 Gio Gonzalez 3.2 34 SP
@LosAngelesGypsy Cliff Lee 3.3 35 SP
@Friz26 Stephen Strasburg 3.4 36 SP
@chrisgarosi Ben Zobrist 2.5 37 2B
@AGDFRD Bryce Harper 3.6 38 OF
@Mike_Schwartze Ian Kinsler 3.7 39 2B
@akantecki Jason Heyward 3.8 40 OF
@cmcbrien Ryan Zimmerman 3.9 41 3B
@U_neek81 Curtis Granderson 3.10 42 OF
@JeffSobers Matt Holliday 3.11 43 OF
@askrotobaseball Jacoby Ellsbury 3.12 44 OF
@RDLARK Jay Bruce 3.13 45 OF
@RonJohnson5 Yoenis Cespedes 3.14 46 OF
@StevenSantos5 Billy Butler 3.15 47 1B
@cjtyrrell136 Aramis Ramirez 3.16 48 3B

Round Summary

The round started with Adrian Gonzalez going with the 33rd overall pick. That is too high in my opinion. I’m not a huge fan of A-Gone at this point. That isn’t saying he won’t have good value, but I’d prefer to wait on someone like Paul Goldschmidt or Freddie Freeman. Next was a string of three Starting Pitchers (Gio Gonzalez, Cliff Lee, and Stephen Strasburg), all of which I like a lot. Stephen Strasburg has the upside, but out of the three, I actually like Cliff Lee the most this season. He should rack up 15 or so Wins and his other statistics should stay the same or even improve. He’s a gamer. Jason Heyward is the guy that I hoped would fall to me, but to no avail. He went at number 40 overall. I think he’s worth a pick in the 20-25 range. Great value! Aramis Ramirez seemed to go a bit higher than I figured he would, but he’s still a solid producer. I’m not sure of @cjtyrrell136’s other considerations there, but Ramirez could have been his safest bet.

My Pick: Jacoby Ellsbury

Jacoby Ellsbury missed half of 2012 with a shoulder injury that likely lingered on the entire season. If everything went right (and he was the MVP) he could go 30/50. I highly doubt that will happen, but I’d be happy with 20/40. If he stays healthy, he’ll put up good numbers.

Best Value Pick: Jason Heyward

I am very high on Jason Heyward in 2013. He won’t be 24 until August and he’s coming off a very productive season where he hit 27 homers and stole 21 bases. He has a good eye and will take his fair share of Walks as well. I think he went later than he should have in this draft, but it is fair to assume that some people don’t think he’ll build on his 2012 performance. I think he will and at number 40 overall, it is worth finding out.

Round 4

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@cjtyrrell136 Zack Greinke 4.1 49 SP
@StevenSantos5 Elvis Andrus 4.2 50 SS
@RonJohnson5 Chris Sale 4.3 51 SP
@RDLARK Joe Mauer 4.4 52 C
@askROTObaseball Paul Goldschmidt 4.5 53 1B
@JeffSobers Aaron Hill 4.6 54 2B
@U_Neek81 Allen Craig 4.7 55 1B
@cmcbrien Jason Kipnis 4.8 56 2B
@akantecki Chase Headley 4.9 57 3B
@Mike_Schwartze Yadier Molina 4.10 58 C
@AGDFRD Madison Bumgarner 4.11 59 SP
@chrisgarosi James Shields 4.12 60 SP
@Friz26 B.J. Upton 4.13 61 OF
@LosAngelesGypsy Brandon Phillips 4.14 62 2B
@Streets559 Austin Jackson 4.15 63 OF
@TheRealADiNardo Ian Desmond 4.16 64 SS

Round Summary

One of my big question marks this year is Chris Sale, who went with the third pick in the fourth round. He had a fantastic 2012, but I’m torn whether or not he’ll duplicate or improve in 2013. He’s someone I likely wouldn’t take this early. Aaron Hill is another guy that I just can’t get a good read on. He has always been mediocre overall, but he put up very good numbers when he came to Arizona. I think he’ll regress a bit this season, but should still be good for 20 homers and 10 steals. I would have waited on him at least another round or two. This round was full of players that had career years in 2012. The question is, which of them will be solid contributors and which ones will be regress or be busts? Quickly running through them… Jason Kipnis won’t steal 31 bases again, Chase Headley won’t hit 31 home runs again, and I can’t foresee Ian Desmond blasting 25 home runs again. I feel like Headley has the best chance of coming closest but 20-25 homers seems much more likely. Remember he plays half of his games in Petco Park. B.J. Upton, with his 30/30 potential and Brandon Phillips, with his always solid line and his weak position were both excellent picks at the end of the fourth round.

My Pick: Paul Goldschmidt

I wavered on this pick and I’m still not sure whether I made the right one or not. I considered Brandon Phillips at this spot, but wanted Goldschmidt’s upside. I think he’s going to have a very productive year with close to 30 homers. If he could manage to steal 18 bags again, it would be icing on the cake. There was no one that really stood out to be here, so Goldschmidt was good enough for me.

Best Value Pick: Madison Bumgarner

I’m surprised Bumgarner fell to number 59 overall. He had some rough patches in 2012, but at the end of the season, he had some nice numbers. This will likely be @AGDFRD’s ace in 2013 and he could do a lot worse. It was a good pick at the spot he was taken.

Round 5

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@TheRealADiNardo Shin-Soo Choo 5.1 65 OF
@Streets559 Jimmy Rollins 5.2 66 SS
@LosAngelesGypsy Martin Prado 5.3 67 OF
@Friz26 Mark Teixeira 5.4 68 1B
@chrisgarosi Max Scherzer 5.5 69 2B
@AGDFRD CC Sabathia 5.6 70 SP
@Mike_Schwartze Carlos Beltran 5.7 71 OF
@akantecki R.A. Dickey 5.8 72 SP
@cmcbrien Roy Halladay 5.9 73 SP
@U_neek81 Jose Altuve 5.10 74 2B
@JeffSobers Kris Medlen 5.11 75 SP
@askrotobaseball Craig Kimbrel 5.12 76 RP
@RDLARK Alex Gordon 5.13 77 OF
@RonJohnson5 Pablo Sandoval 5.14 78 3B
@StevenSantos5 Mark Trumbo 5.15 79 OF
@cjtyrrell136 Carlos Santana 5.16 80 1B

Round Summary

Shin-Soo Choo led off this round and I like this pick very much. Choo will be batting leadoff for Cincinnati and should score plenty of runs. He gets on-base at a career .381 clip and is moving to a hitter’s ballpark. I expect a big year. Last year’s N.L. Cy Young winner finally went in Round 5. I think R.A. Dickey will have a good year, but not like his 2012 season. He’s worth a shot in the 5th round based off last year alone. Roy Halladay went with the very next pick.. I prefer Halladay in 2013. Jose Altuve wouldn’t have lasted back to the end of the sixth round and with all of the upper tiered second basemen gone, I actually like this pick. He should hit .300 with plenty of steals. The round finished with Carlos Santana going at number 80 overall. I like Santana a lot this year, but I prefer him at Catcher where his value increases substantially.

My Pick: Craig Kimbrel

Before settling on Paul Goldschmidt and passing on Brandon Phillips in Round 4, Craig Kimbrel crossed my mind. I was hoping he’d be here in Round 5 and luckily he was. He’s the best reliever in Fantasy Baseball and not only will he save 40 games, but he’ll strikeout 120 batters as well. I’ll take that all day long out of a reliever. Some people don’t believe in “paying for saves,” but that is hardly what I’m doing. I’m getting a relief pitcher that will help in every category except Wins. A reliever that posts a WHIP under 1.00 will do wonders for your cumulative WHIP.

Best Value Pick: Roy Halladay

I don’t think Roy Halladay is finished and he will prove that this year. To say Halladay had an off year in 2012 is an understatement, but a pitcher of his stature is bound to bounce back. One bad season doesn’t convince me that Halladay is washed up. He’ll rebound in a big way this year!

Thanks for reading! When Round 6 of the DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft #2 is completed, I’ll have another summary available. Click below to follow me on Twitter!

By David Kerr

DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft #1 Round 3/4 Summaries

Round 3

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@zomall Cole Hamels 3.1 33 SP
@PatsRule23 Adrian Gonzalez 3.2 34 1B
@Murrrrrph Bryce Harper 3.3 35 OF
@MagicSpecs Jason Heyward 3.4 36 OF
@VinnieRullo Dustin Pedroia 3.5 37 2B
@ClubhouseGM Jay Bruce 3.6 38 OF
@TheFantasyDR Craig Kimbrel 3.7 39 RP
@MRobison21 Ben Zobrist 3.8 40 2B
@fake0elvis Gio Gonzalez 3.9 41 SP
@Three_O_Swing Zack Greinke 3.10 42 SP
@cooperkyle22 Ian Kinsler 3.11 43 2B
@daydreaming08 Jacoby Ellsbury 3.12 44 OF
@askROTObaseball Billy Butler 3.13 45 1B
@faketeams Allen Craig 3.14 46 1B
@TKing978 Curtis Granderson 3.15 47 OF
@NYLivinCAMind Elvis Andrus 3.16 48 SS

Round Summary

When it comes to intriguing players in 2013, for me, no one is ahead of Bryce Harper. As a rookie, he had a triple slash of .270/.340/.477 along with 22 homers and 18 steals. I like for Harper to exceed his total in both categories this season. I don’t think that early in the third round (pick 35 overall) is a reach for Harper one bit. I would assume that the owner, @Murrrrrph, is high on Harper and knew he wouldn’t fall back to him at the end of the fourth round. With upside like Harper’s, I think that the third round is just right. I like the back to back picks of Jason Heyward and Dustin Pedroia. Both warrant third round picks; Heyward on his upside and Pedroia due to his track record and position. Craig Kimbrel was the first Relief Pitcher taken off the board and that is no surprise. Not many relievers are going to strikeout over 100 batters and give you 40 saves. Kimbrel can and will do that in 2013. Ben Zobrist was another solid pick in the third round, especially due to his multi-position eligibility. In a 16-team draft, position plays a large role in draft strategy. It was definitely a solid pick. Jacoby Ellsbury went late in the third round, which is about as far as he should last. More on him when I discuss my own pick. Elvis Andrus fits the same mold as Ben Zobrist only he doesn’t have multi-position eligibility. I am a little down on Andrus this season because I feel that if he doesn’t steal 35-40 bases, his value is diminished. He only stole 20 in 2012. Here’s hoping that he uses his wheels more often this season.

My Pick: Billy Butler

Before picking Billy Butler, I was hoping that Jacoby Ellsbury would fall to me. Like so many of us have encountered before though, I got sniped! My other options were Matt Holliday and Ryan Zimmerman. I settled on Butler because he has First Base eligibility this season, he always stays healthy, and you basically know what you’re going to get. Last season he turned a lot of doubles into home runs. I’m not sure if he’ll approach 30 home runs this season, but I’d bet he hits 25. Along with his always solid average and on-base percentage, I feel confident in Butler this year.

Best Value Pick: Ian Kinsler

Overall, I can’t say I’m that high on Ian Kinsler. With that said, at number 43 overall, he provides great value out of a weak position. He has 30/30 upside even with a rather dismal batting average. If Kinsler can manage to hit .270, his value definitely increases. I don’t want to overestimate Kinsler, but I think he’ll go 25/25 this season which is solid for any third round pick, not to mention a guy that plays second base.

Round 4

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@NYLivinCAMind Matt Holiday 4.1 49 OF
@TKing978 Aramis Ramirez 4.2 50 3B
@faketeams Ryan Zimmerman 4.3 51 3B
@AskrROTOBaseball Cliff Lee 4.4 52 SP
@daydreaming08 Mark Trumbo 4.5 53 OF
@cooperkyle22 CC Sabathia 4.6 54 SP
@Three_O_Swing Chris Sale 4.7 55 SP
@fake0elvis B.J. Upton 4.8 56 OF
@MRobison21 Chase Headley 4.9 57 3B
@TheFantasyDR Yoenis Cespedes 4.10 58 OF
@ClubhouseGM Ian Desmond 4.11 59 SS
@VinnieRullo Mark Teixeira 4.12 60 1B
@magicspecs Madison Bumgarner 4.13 61 SP
@Murrrrrph Max Scherzer 4.14 62 SP
@PatsRule23 Joe Mauer 4.15 63 C
@zomall Aaron Hill 4.16 64 2B

Round Summary

It was no surprise that Matt Holliday kicked off the fourth round of this Mock Draft. I actually considered him the third round, but passed for Billy Butler. Along with Holliday, Ryan Zimmerman and Cliff Lee were both safe picks. I actually think Lee is somewhat undervalued and I was happy to see him there in the fourth. Some may look at B.J. Upton’s low average and be turned off, but this is a guy that hit 28 home runs and stole 31 bags last season. He’s never going to hit for a high average, but has a chance for 30/30 every single year. Chase Headley is a big question mark this year. Can he hit 30 home runs again? Will he steal 15-20 bases? I say no to the former and yes to the latter. I have a piece on http://www.MLBDirt.com that discusses Headley’s season last year. You can access that article here. He will be solid, but I don’t think it’s realistic to expect him to match or exceed his 2012 batting line. Ian Desmond is another player I mentioned in that same article. I think picking Desmond in the fourth round was a solid move because Shortstop is so weak. Position eligibility is even more important in a draft this deep. Joe Mauer was a solid pick with the next to last pick in the fourth round. Mauer doesn’t have much pop or speed, but he’s above average in every other category.

My Pick: Cliff Lee

I love Cliff Lee and I didn’t hesitate to grab him in the fourth round. Heck, I was surprised he was still there to be honest. The Phillies will be better in 2013 and that should bode well for Lee’s win total. He only one SIX games last season. He did stikeout 207 batters though all the while posting a solid ERA and WHIP. He should have a great season.

Best Value Pick: Madison Bumgarner

Madison Bumgarner is primed for a big season in 2013. He had his moments in 2012, but still managed an ERA of 3.37 and a 1.11 WHIP. He’ll win a lot of games for a very good San Francisco team and of course, rack up the strikeouts. This was @magicspecs first Starting Pitcher to go along with three solid bats. Very nice pick.

Guest Blurb

@MRobison21: In the first two rounds I went with a Starting Pitcher. I figured in a 16 team league, the pitching will thin fast and I wanted two workhorses (Verlander and Strasburg) at the top of my rotation. In rounds three and four, I started to fill in my offense. All studs are obviously gone at this point, so I focused on getting the best hitters at the weakest positions and the biggest drop offs to the next best guys at those positions. I picked Ben Zobrist in the third due to his versatility (2B/SS/OF eligible) and mix of pop and a little speed. Kinsler and Andrus were available, but I prefer Zobrist to either. I came back with Headley in the fourth for the same reason, the drop off to the rest of the pack is quite sharp (Prado/Sandoval/Freese). I like the look of my team so far.

The round five summary will be out once the round is completed.

Click below to follow me on Twitter!

By David Kerr

By running two 16-team Mock Drafts simultaneously, it gives everyone reading an opportunity to see how much the results differentiate. Both drafts are using the same format and have completely different owners (except for me, of course). The first round of Mock Draft #2 didn’t really have any standout surprises as you can see below.

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@TheRealADiNardo Ryan Braun 1.1 1 OF
@Streets559 Miguel Cabrera 1.2 2 3B
@LosAngelesGypsy Mike Trout 1.3 3 OF
@Friz26 Robinson Cano 1.4 4 2B
@chrisgarosi Andrew McCutchen 1.5 5 OF
@AGDFRD Albert Pujols 1.6 6 1B
@Mike_Schwartze Justin Verlander 1.7 7 SP
@akantecki Matt Kemp 1.8 8 OF
@cmcbrien Joey Votto 1.9 9 1B
@U_neek81 Carlos Gonzalez 1.10 10 OF
@JeffSobers Prince Fielder 1.11 11 1B
@askrotobaseball Buster Posey 1.12 12 C
@RDLARK Clayton Kershaw 1.13 13 SP
@RonJohnson5 Josh Hamilton 1.14 14 OF
@StevenSantos5 David Price 1.15 15 SP
@cjtyrrell136 Troy Tulowitzki 1.16 16 SS

Round Summary

My guess would be that 90 percent of Fantasy Baseball drafts will consist of Ryan Braun, Mike Trout, and Miguel Cabrera going first, second, and third overall. The order doesn’t matter because an argument can be made for all three to be taken first overall. In this draft, @TheRealADinardo went with Braun. Braun has gone 30/30 in back to back seasons and barring injury he’ll likely do it again. Just like in the first DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft, Robinson Cano went fourth overall. That is a pick a wholeheartedly agree with. It’s no surprise that Justin Verlander went in the top ten in this draft as well. He been the most consistent starter in Fantasy Baseball the past few years and his track record warrants a first round pick. One thing that has surprised me in both Mock Drafts is that Matt Kemp has fallen out of the top five. I suppose his hamstring issues of last season may have something to do with that. I will go on record and say that I prefer Kemp over Andrew McCutchen this season. He’s in a much better lineup and I think he’ll stay healthy. If he does in fact stay healthy, he’s going to produce and he may do it in a big, big way. It was no surprise that David Price and Stephen Strasburg both went in the first round. Along with Verlander and Felix Hernandez, they round out my top four at the Starting Pitcher position. Troy Tulowitzki is a high risk, high reward player and is definitely worth a gamble with the last pick of the first round. There is no chance a player with Tulowitzki’s caliber would make it back to the end of the third round.

My Pick: Buster Posey

Even though it is only January, I have compiled about one-third of my overall rankings for the 2013 season. I have Buster Posey ranked number ten overall. There’s no doubt he’s the top catcher in the league and he warrants a first round pick. I was hoping he would fall to me with the twelfth pick and he did. It is hard to find the type of production that Posey provides out of the Catcher position. It goes without saying that it’s very beneficial that Posey plays his fair share of First Base which gives his body a break. I see another big season for Posey and felt confident taking him with a first round pick.

Best Value Pick: Matt Kemp

I still think that Kemp should be going in the top five. With 40/40 upside and a strong track record, he could easily end the 2013 season as the Fantasy MVP. If I were picking at number eight, it would have been a no-brainer, Matt Kemp would have been my pick. I’m very bullish on Kemp this year and think that he will replicate and possibly surpass his 2011 season.

Thanks for reading! When Round 2 of the DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft is completed, I’ll have another summary available. Click below to follow me on Twitter!

By David Kerr

Below are the results of Round 2 in the DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft #1. Click here for results from Round 1.

OWNER PLAYER ROUND PICK OVERALL PICK POSITION
@NYLivinCAMind David Wright 2.1 17 3B
@TKing978 Josh Hamilton 2.2 18 OF
@faketeams Justin Upton 2.3 19 OF
@AskrROTOBaseball David Price 2.4 20 SP
@daydreaming08 Adrian Beltre 2.5 21 3B
@cooperkyle22 Edwin Encarnacion 2.6 22 1B
@Three_O_Swing Hanley Ramirez 2.7 23 SS
@fake0elvis Matt Cain 2.8 24 SP
@MRobison21 Stephen Strasburg 2.9 25 SP
@TheFantasyDR Felix Hernandez 2.10 26 SP
@ClubhouseGM Evan Longoria 2.11 27 3B
@VinnieRullo R.A. Dickey 2.12 28 SP
@magicspecs Jose Bautista 2.13 29 OF
@Murrrrrph Adam Jones 2.14 30 OF
@PatsRule23 Jered Weaver 2.15 31 SP
@zomall Starlin Castro 2.16 32 SS

Round Summary

This round consisted of very obvious, safe picks. The biggest thing that stood out to me was the string of Starting Pitching that went starting with my pick of David Price. More on that after the summary. I feel as thought Justin Upton was a solid pick at number 19 overall. I am in the camp that feels that Upton can be a top 10-15 player this year. It’s hard to pass on a power/speed combo with upside. Adrian Beltre has been a very safe pick since he’s donned a Rangers uniform. He should put up another solid season with no problem. I like Stephen Strasburg in 2013, but I have a gut feeling 2014 will be the year he really breaks out. There’s no doubt though that he’s worthy of a second round pick, especially in a 16 team draft and his sky high upside. @VinnieRullo took the plunge and grabbed R.A. Dickey with the 28th overall pick. The big question is whether he can he come close to repeating next year? My feelings are that he’ll be solid and win a lot of games, but the ERA and WHIP are bound to go up. With that said, he is coming off of a Cy Young season, so you can’t fault someone for expecting a repeat of 2012. With @zomall’s pick of Starlin Castro, that likely takes the top tier and a half of Shortstop’s off the board. If he didn’t grab him there (or with the next pick,) there was no chance he’d get him 30 picks later.

My Pick: David Price

After Clayton Kershaw, David Price and Felix Hernandez vie for my Starting Pitcher fantasy love. With the fourth pick of the second round (No. 20 overall), I settled on David Price. His WHIP has improved in every season since 2009, while his K/9 has increased each year in the same time period except from 2011-2012, where he stayed the same (8.7). He pitches in a hitter friendly park for a team that will win plenty of games. Another reason while I settled on a Starting Pitcher with little reservation was due to the fact that in a league this deep, I think it’s critical to have an ace. David Price is definitely an ace and I expect another stellar season. The other player I considered at the time was the aforementioned Felix Hernandez.

Best Value Pick: Felix Hernandez

With pick 26 overall, Felix Hernandez was a steal. He’s pitched AT LEAST 232 innings in each of the past four season and struck out an average of 224 batters per season over that same time period. The only real negative with King Felix is that he doesn’t win many games. I’m going to go on record and make a bold prediction that The King will win at least 17 games in 2013. If Felix falls to you at number 26 overall in any draft, consider yourself lucky and enjoy the ride!

The Round 3 summary should be out tomorrow or Sunday! Click below to follow me on Twitter!

By David Kerr

The new year has started and that means only one thing, it’s time to start prepping for FANTASY BASEBALL! On top of rankings, player profiles, and an abundance of roster question’s, I am going to be running Mock Draft’s from now until the season starts. I am partnering with Dynasty Sports Empire and providing these drafts to fellow Fantasy Baseball experts and anyone that follows me on Twitter. They will be rather deep drafts and all info on the drafts can be found by clicking here. Alright! On to the first round results of DSE/AskROTObaseball Mock Draft #1.

Owner Player Round Pick Overall Pick Position
@zomall Mike Trout 1.1 1 OF
@PatsRule23 Miguel Cabrera 1.2 2 3B
@Murrrrrph Ryan Braun 1.3 3 OF
@magicspecs Robinson Cano 1.4 4 2B
@VinnieRullo Andrew McCutchen 1.5 5 OF
@ClubhouseGM Prince Fielder 1.6 6 1B
@TheFantasyDR Albert Pujols 1.7 7 1B
@MRobison21 Justin Verlander 1.8 8 SP
@fake0elvis Buster Posey 1.9 9 C
@Three_O_Swing Matt Kemp 1.10 10 OF
@cooperkyle22 Jose Reyes 1.11 11 SS
@daydreaming08 Troy Tulowitzki 1.12 12 SS
@AskROTOBaseball Carlos Gonzalez 1.13 13 OF
@faketeams Giancarlo Stanton 1.14 14 OF
@TKing978 Joey Votto 1.15 15 1B
@NYlivinCAmind Clayton Kershaw 1.16 16 SP

Draft Summary

This was a pretty standard first round with the usual consensus of top 3 picks (Trout, Cabrera, Braun) going one, two, three, in that order. I liked @magicspecs pick of Robinson Cano at number four. Aside from Miguel Cabrera, he is the most consistent hitter in Fantasy Baseball, plus he plays a premium position. Buster Posey is definitely worth a tenth overall pick. He had a spectacular year in 2012 after suffering a very serious ankle injury in 2011. He’s an elite option and worthy of a first round pick. I like @MRobison21’s pick of Justin Verlander at number eight. In a draft this deep, it is critical to have an ace and Verlander defines that. Troy Tulowitzki at twelve was a bit early for me, but if he can stay healthy, he’ll be the top Shortstop without a doubt.

My Pick: Carlos Gonzalez

“Cargo” has 30/30 potential and I think this could be the year he reaches that number. I am a bit concerned that he hasn’t surpassed more than 20 steals the past two seasons, but I believe this is the year it will all come together. He hits for average, has a great blend of power and speed, and plays half of his games in Coors Field. I’m confident in him this year. Before I ultimately picked Carlos Gonzalez, I was mulling over him, Clayton Kershaw, and Giancarlo Stanton. Once Cargo was off the board Stanton and Kershaw went with two of the next three picks. I was hoping one of them would make it back to me!

Best Value Pick: Matt Kemp

I couldn’t believe Matt Kemp fell to tenth overall, but it happened. Most players taken before him are safer picks, but there’s no doubt Kemp has the upside of a first overall pick. He is another guy that if healthy over a full season can be a 40/40 player.

Guest Blurb

@PatsRule23: When I found out I was getting the 2nd overall pick, I was happy knowing I would get one of the big 3 (Trout, Miggy or Braun). Trout was taken first so for me the two options I had were Miggy or Braun. Both guys have such a great impact on HR, RBI, & AVG., but only Braun has the stolen base potential. On the other hand, I had to think about their positions and the depth in each; this is what ultimately made my decision. Third Base is not a deep position while Outfield is pretty deep this year and I know I can draft speed later on in the draft. So with the 2nd pick in this 16 team mock draft I went with Miguel Cabrera.

Round 2 Summary tomorrow! Click the icon below to follow me on Twitter!