Player Profile: Carlos Quentin

Posted: March 7, 2013 in Player Profile
Tags: , , , , , ,

By David Kerr

If you’re looking for power in the middle to late rounds of your draft, the name Carlos Quentin will likely pop into your head as a viable option to fill that role. There is no question that Quentin has always had serious power, but it’s also well known that he’s been bogged down by nagging injuries. Throughout his career, he’s had numerous injuries including a fractured wrist, plantar fascilitis, and a sprained shoulder. Last season, he missed the first two months after having arthroscopic surgery on a torn meniscus in his knee. After being bounced around as a trade candidate most of last season, he settled on a contract extension with San Diego. He only amassed 35 plate appearances in the final month of the season last year because his knee acted up again and ended up having arthroscopic surgery this past offseason. It’s safe to say that Quentin is a definite injury risk.

This brings us to 2013. Over the past few seasons, good power has been hard to find. Sure, you have guys that will come out of the blue and knock 20 balls out of the park, but aside from the usual suspects, not many players possess eye popping power. Quentin has that type of power. He has a career ISO (Isolated Power) number of .239. That number is higher than the career numbers of Josh Willingham (.222), Alfonso Soriano (.232), and Curtis Granderson (.230). He’s had over 500 plate appearances just twice in his career. In both of those season’s he hit over 25 home runs. Just last year he clubbed 16 dingers in 284 at-bats for a AB/HR rate of 17.75. Are you starting to see a trend here? Health equals power production.

There are many positives in Quentin’s repertoire. His plate discipline is solid because he takes his fair share of walks, he keeps his strikeouts down, and even adds to his on-base percentage by getting plunked more often than most players. He led the National League in that category last season and led the American League in 2011. Quentin has a few less than stellar aspects of his game as well. He’s never really hit for a great average, though it won’t kill you. He’s going to range somewhere in the .245-.260 range. He’s never been much of a base stealer, and with his continuously hurting knees, you can pretty much scratch that category off the board completely.

Carlos Quentin is a fantastic source of power, but he’s also a great bet to be on the disabled list at least once or twice a year, usually for an extended period of time. If he could be counted on to stay healthy, he’d hit 30 home runs easily. It’s likely that he’ll be in the 20-25 range if he can reach or surpass 450-500 plate appearances. I have a hard time believing that he’ll do that because his track record speaks for itself. Though he’s only a career .211 career hitter at Petco Park, it shouldn’t zap his power too much. Petco doesn’t hurt right handed hitters like it does to lefties. He’s worth a gamble late in drafts and if he can somehow get over 500 plate appearances, you may have yourself a cheap source of power with the upside of 30 home runs.

2013 Projection: 440 PA, .250 AVG, 21 HRS, 70 RBIS, 58 RUNS

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