Fantasy Implications from Today’s Deadline Deals

Posted: July 31, 2012 in Articles

By David Kerr

Today marked the non-waiver trade deadline in Major League Baseball. It was quite an active day that saw two Philadelphia outfielders switching coasts, the Texas Rangers snag Ryan Dempster with five minutes left before the clock ran out, and a flurry of other moves. I’ll go through each of the moves with a quick blurb on each that touch on fantasy implications of the said players.

Shane Victorino traded to Los Angeles Dodgers for RHP Josh Lindblom and RHP Ethan Martin

Shane Victorino needed a change of scenery and going to the Dodgers is going to give him a much needed spark. He will be reunited with Coach Davey Lopes which should make him feel somewhat at home on his new team. He will be batting lead off which in turn should provide more at-bats and plenty of runs scored and stolen bases. He’ll even chip in a few homers. Since the All-Star break, Victorino’s batted .357 with 14 runs scored and 5 steals. I’m quite confident in Victorino for the rest of the season that I’d actually recommend buying him if you can.

Rest of Season Projection: .280-5-24-18

Hunter Pence traded to the San Francisco Giants for C Tommy Joseph, OF Nate Schierholtz, and RHP Seth Rosin

Hunter Pence is batting a solid, yet unspectacular .271-17-59-4 on the season. His fantasy value should remain the same even though he’s moving from an extreme hitter’s park to an extreme pitcher’s park. On his career he’s batting .329 with 5 home runs in AT&T Park. I could see a slight uptick in average with everything else about the same. His bat is much need in San Francisco’s lineup, but temper your expectations because lets face it, it’s still the Giants lineup!

Rest of Season Projection: .290-10-38-4

Jonathan Broxton traded to the Cincinnati Reds for LHP Donnie Joseph and RHP J.C. Sulbaran

Jonathan Broxton will be moving from the closer role in Kansas City to a setup role in Cincinnati. He’ll provide another strong arm for an already strong bullpen. He should rack up the holds and maybe chip in a few saves if Aroldis Chapman needs a day off.

Rest of Season Projection: 3-1-2.75-9 HOLDS-3 SVS

Gaby Sanchez traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates for OF Gorkys Hernandez and a draft pick

The Pirates made a low risk move bringing in Gaby Sanchez and it could pay dividends if he gets back on the right track. His line in the majors this season is .202-3-17-1. Brutual. His career numbers prior to this season were .269-40-167-8. Not so bad. I think there is definite room for improvement, but from a fantasy perspective he’s only relative in NL-Only leagues and very deep mixed leagues at this point due to the fact that he’ll be in a platoon with Garrett Jones. Keep an eye on him though and if he gets hot, he could be an option at first base down the stretch.

Rest of Season Projection: .250-5-18-1

Ryan Dempster traded to the Texas Rangers for 3B Christian Villanueva and RHP Kyle Hendricks

Ryan Dempster has posted the best ERA and WHIP numbers of his career in 2012. Sadly, I think that is going to change rather soon. There are a few factors that play into my assumption with the main two being his low BABIP of .242 and a strand rate of 84%. The rest of the way I could see his BABIP number rising which in turn would give him overall number similar to his 2008 numbers of .280 and 76.7% respectively. I’m not overly excited about Dempster moving to the AL and pitching his home games in Arlington. He should get plenty of wins and some strikeouts, but I have a strong feeling his ERA and WHIP will take a hit. He’s due for regression and I think the move to Texas will put that regression on the fast track.

Rest of the Season Projection: 6-3-3.75-1.30-60

Casey McGehee traded to the New York Yankees for RHP Chad Qualls

Casey McGehee had been very bland over 265 at-bats for the Pirates. That probably won’t change in New York, but you never know. He’s nothing more than a stopgap for the Yankees until A-Rod comes back, but it’s possible he could provide some pop. Add him in AL-Only leagues, but he still holds little value in mixed leagues. The other side of the deal was Chad Qualls. He holds no value.

Rest of the Season Projection: .230-5-15-1

Those were the most “high-profile” deals today, but there were a few other trades that have very minor fantasy implications including Craig Breslow to the Red Sox, Edward Mujica to the Cardinals, and Lars Anderson to the Indians in a minor league deal.

Obviously there were other trades prior to today. Some I like for fantasy purposes include: Travis Snider to the Pirates, Paul Maholm to the Braves, Geovany Soto to the Rangers, Hanley Ramirez to the Dodgers, Anibal Sanchez to the Tigers, and Zack Greinke to the Angels.

I still wouldn’t touch Francisco Liriano with a 10 foot pole, no matter where he pitches!

Agree? Disagree? Leave a comment below. I’d love to hear your opinion/feedback.

I do most of my work on Twitter where you can ask me as many question’s as you like every day. You can follow me by clicking the icon below.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s